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Predicting extinction of biological systems with competition

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posted on 2024-10-30, 21:15 authored by Branko RisticBranko Ristic, Alex Skvortsov
The chapter develops a practical algorithm for forecasting an extinction event in a biological system with interaction of species. The problem is cast in the framework of a stochastic multiple-predator single-prey Lotka-Volterra system. In this context, the prey population plays the role of a finite supply of food or resources, for which the predators species compete. Extinction is the event when either the resources are exhausted or all the competing predators die out. Given noisy and sporadic observations of the prey count (the quantity of resources), the proposed algorithm is capable of predicting the timing of the extinction event in a probabilistic manner. Remarkably, in doing so, it does not have to know how many predator species are competing for resources.

History

Start page

467

End page

485

Total pages

19

Outlet

Emerging Trends in Computational Biology, Bioinformatics, and Systems Biology: Algorithms and Software Tools

Editors

Q.-N. Tran and H. Arabnia

Publisher

Morgan Kaufmann Publishers

Place published

United States

Language

English

Copyright

© 2015 Elsevier Ltd

Former Identifier

2006057279

Esploro creation date

2020-06-22

Fedora creation date

2015-12-21

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