posted on 2024-10-31, 23:33authored byMichael McKenzie, Mardi Dungey, Angela Frino
Prices in bond markets have been noted as moving extremely rapidly following
macroeconomic news announcements - with a delayed increase in trading volume.
New data allows us to demonstrate that the previously unexplained dichotomy
between rapid price and sluggish volume movement in the US Treasuries cash market
originates with rapid price and volume change in the Treasury futures market.
Consistent with research in other markets, the Treasury futures lead price discovery in
the cash market.