A statistical model for X-ray scattering of a non-periodic sample to high angles is introduced. It is used to calculate analytically the correlation of distinct diffraction measurements of a particle as a continuous function of particle orientation. Diffraction measurements with shot-noise are also considered. This theory provides a general framework for a deeper understanding of single particle imaging techniques used at X-ray free-electron lasers. Many of these techniques use correlations as a measure of diffraction-pattern similarity in order to determine properties of the sample, such as particle orientation.